Izindleko ezihamba phambili ezingu-10 zokuthunyelwa kwempahla yomoya zithonya izici nokuhlaziywa kwezindleko zango-2025
Emkhakheni webhizinisi lomhlaba jikelele,impahla emoyeniukuthutha sekuyinketho ebalulekile yempahla ezinkampanini eziningi nakubantu ngabanye ngenxa yokusebenza kahle kwayo nesivinini. Nokho, ukwakheka kwezindleko zokuthutha emoyeni kuyinkimbinkimbi futhi kuthintwa izici eziningi.
Izindleko zokuthunyelwa kwempahla yomoya zinomthelela ezintweni
Okokuqala, iisisindowezimpahla kungenye yezinto ezibalulekile ekunqumeni izindleko zokuthutha emoyeni. Ngokuvamile, izinkampani ezithwala impahla ngomoya zibala izindleko zempahla ngokusekelwe enanini leyunithi ngekhilogremu. Izimpahla ezisindayo, izindleko ziphezulu.
Ibanga lentengo ngokuvamile lingama-45 kg, 100 kg, 300 kg, 500 kg, 1000 kg nangaphezulu (bheka imininingwane ku-umkhiqizo). Kodwa-ke, kufanele kuqashelwe ukuthi ezimpahleni ezinevolumu enkulu nesisindo esincane, izindiza zezindiza zingashaja ngokwesisindo somthamo.
Iibangayokuthumela ngemikhumbi futhi kuyisici esibalulekile esithinta izindleko zezimpahla zokuthutha emoyeni. Ngokuvamile, uma ibanga lokuhamba liqhubeka lide, izindleko zokuthutha ziba phezulu. Isibonelo, izindleko zezimpahla zokuthutha emoyeni ezivela eChina ukuyaEYurophuizoba phezulu kakhulu kunaleyo yezimpahla ezithutha umoya ezisuka eChina ukuyaINingizimu-mpumalanga ye-Asia. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ezahlukeneizikhumulo zezindiza ezisukayo nezikhumulo zezindiza okuyiwa kuzoizophinde ibe nomthelela ezindlekweni.
Iuhlobo lwezimpahlaizophinde ibe nomthelela ezindlekweni zokuthutha ngendiza. Izimpahla ezikhethekile, njengezimpahla eziyingozi, ukudla okusha, izinto ezibalulekile, nezimpahla ezinezidingo zokushisa, ngokuvamile zinezindleko eziphezulu zokuthutha kunezimpahla ezijwayelekile ngoba zidinga izinyathelo ezikhethekile zokuphatha nokuvikela.
(Isibonelo: izimpahla ezilawulwa izinga lokushisa, uchungechunge olubandayo lwemithi ludinga imishini ekhethekile, futhi izindleko zizokwenyuka ngo-30% -50%.)
Ngaphezu kwalokho, i-izidingo zokuhambisana nesikhathizokuthutha nazo zizobonakala ezindlekweni. Uma udinga ukusheshisa ezokuthutha futhi ulethe izimpahla endaweni ngesikhathi esifushane kakhulu, intengo yendiza eqondile izoba phezulu kunentengo yokuthutha; inkampani yezindiza izohlinzeka ngokusingatha okubalulekile kanye nezinsizakalo zokuthutha ngokushesha zalokhu, kodwa izindleko zizokhuphuka ngokufanele.
Izindiza ezahlukenefuthi abe namazinga ahlukene wokushaja. Ezinye izindiza ezinkulu zamazwe ngamazwe zingase zibe nezinzuzo kukhwalithi yesevisi kanye nokutholakala komzila, kodwa izindleko zazo zingase zibe phezulu; kuyilapho ezinye izindiza ezincane noma zesifunda zinganikeza amanani ancintisana kakhulu.
Ngaphezu kwezici zezindleko ezingenhla eziqondile, ezinyeizindleko ezingaqondilekudingeka kucatshangelwe. Isibonelo, izindleko zokupakisha zezimpahla. Ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukuphepha kwezimpahla ngesikhathi sokuthutha emoyeni, izinto eziqinile zokupakisha ezihlangabezana nezindinganiso zokuthutha emoyeni zidinga ukusetshenziswa, okuzoletha izindleko ezithile. Ngaphezu kwalokho, izindleko zikaphethiloli, izindleko zokugunyazwa kwentela, izindleko zomshuwalense, njll. nazo ziyizingxenye zezindleko zokuthutha emoyeni.
Ezinye izici:
Ukuhlinzekwa kwemakethe kanye nesidingo
Izinguquko ezidingekayo: Ngesikhathi semikhosi yokuthenga ye-e-commerce kanye nezinkathi zokukhiqiza eziphakeme, isidingo sokuthunyelwa kwempahla sikhuphuka kakhulu. Uma ukuhlinzekwa komthamo wokuthumela kungenakuqhathaniswa ngesikhathi, amanani okuthutha ngomoya azokhuphuka. Isibonelo, phakathi namafestivali okuthenga afana "noKhisimusi" kanye "noLwesihlanu Olumnyama", umthamo wezimpahla ze-e-commerce uqhume, futhi isidingo somthamo wezimpahla zomoya sinamandla, okunyusa amanani omthwalo.
(Isimo esivamile sokungalingani kokuhlinzekwa nokufunwa yinhlekelele yoLwandle Olubomvu ngo-2024: imikhumbi yezimpahla edlula i-Cape of Good Hope inwebe umjikelezo wokuthutha, futhi ezinye izimpahla seziphendukele kwezokuthutha ngendiza, okukhuphula izinga lempahla yomzila we-Asia-Europe ngama-30%.)
Izinguquko zokunikezwa kwamandla: Isisu sendiza yabagibeli siwumthombo obalulekile womthamo wempahla yomoya, futhi ukwanda noma ukuncipha kwezindiza zabagibeli kuzothinta ngqo umthamo wempahla wesisu. Lapho isidingo sabagibeli sincipha, umthamo wesisu wendiza yabagibeli uyancipha, futhi isidingo sempahla sihlala singashintshile noma sikhuphuka, amanani okuthutha emoyeni angase anyuke. Ngaphezu kwalokho, inani lezindiza ezithwala impahla ezitshaliwe kanye nokuqedwa kwezindiza ezindala ezithwala impahla kuzophinde kuthinte umthamo wokuthutha emoyeni, futhi ngaleyo ndlela kuthinte amanani.
Izindleko zokuthumela
Amanani kaphethiloli: Uphethiloli wendiza ingenye yezindleko eziyinhloko zokusebenza kwezinkampani zezindiza, futhi ukuguquguquka kwentengo kaphethiloli kuzothinta ngokuqondile izindleko zokuthumela impahla ngendiza. Uma amanani kaphethiloli enyuka, izinkampani zezindiza zizonyusa amanani okuthutha ngendiza ukuze kudluliselwe ingcindezi yezindleko.
Izindleko zesikhumulo sezindiza: Izindinganiso zokushaja zezikhumulo zezindiza ezihlukahlukene ziyahlukahluka, okuhlanganisa izindleko zokufika nokusuka, izimali zokupaka, izinkokhelo zesevisi yaphansi, njll.
Izici zomzila
Ukuba matasatasa komzila: Imizila edumile efana ne-Asia Pacific eya e-Europe naseMelika, i-Europe kanye ne-America ukuya eMpumalanga Ephakathi, njll., ngenxa yohwebo oluvamile nesidingo esikhulu sempahla, izindiza zitshale amandla amaningi kule mizila, kodwa ukuncintisana kushubile. Amanani azothinteka kukho kokubili ukunikezwa nokufunwa kanye nezinga lokuncintisana. Amanani azokhuphuka ngesizini ephezulu, futhi angase ehle ngesikhathi esingekho ngenxa yokuncintisana.
Inqubomgomo yezombangazwe: amanani entengo, imikhawulo yemizila kanye nokungezwani kwezohwebo
Izingozi ze-geopolitical zithinta ngokungaqondile izintengo zezimpahla zomoya:
Inqubomgomo Yentela: Ngaphambi kokuthi i-United States ibeke amanani entengo e-China, izinkampani zaphuthuma ukuthumela izimpahla ngomkhumbi, okwenza amanani ezimpahla emzileni we-China-US anyuke ngo-18% ngesonto elilodwa;
Imikhawulo ye-Airspace: Ngemva kokungqubuzana kweRussia-Ukraine, izindiza zezindiza zaseYurophu zandizela endaweni yomoya yaseRussia, futhi isikhathi sendiza emzileni wase-Asia-Europe senyuka ngamahora angu-2-3, futhi izindleko zikaphethiloli zenyuka ngo-8% -12%.
Ngokwesibonelo
Ukuze siqonde izindleko zokuthutha ngomoya ngendlela enembile, sizosebenzisa isimo esithile ukuze sifanekise. Ake sithi inkampani ifuna ukuthumela inqwaba yemikhiqizo kagesi engu-500 kg isuka eShenzhen, eChina iyeLos Angeles, USA, futhi ikhethe inkampani yezindiza yamazwe ngamazwe eyaziwayo enenani eliyiyunithi lama-US$6.3 ngekhilogremu. Njengoba imikhiqizo ye-elekthronikhi ingeyona impahla ekhethekile, azikho izimali zokuphatha ezengeziwe ezidingekayo. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, inkampani ikhetha isikhathi esivamile sokuthumela. Kulokhu, izindleko zokuthutha ngomoya zaleli qoqo lezimpahla zingama-US$3,150. Kodwa uma inkampani idinga ukuletha izimpahla phakathi namahora angu-24 futhi ikhetha isevisi esheshayo, izindleko zingase zikhuphuke ngo-50% noma ngaphezulu.
Ukuhlaziywa kwamanani entengo yezimpahla zomoya ngo-2025
Ngo-2025, zonke izintengo zezimpahla zomoya zamazwe ngamazwe zingashintsha futhi zikhuphuke, kodwa ukusebenza kuzohluka ngezikhathi ezihlukile nemizila.
Januwari:Ngenxa yesidingo sokuqoqwa kwempahla ngaphambi kukaNcibijane wamaShayina kanye nokwethulwa okungenzeka kwezinqubomgomo zentela emisha yi-United States, izinkampani zathumela izimpahla kusenesikhathi, isidingo sakhuphuka kakhulu, futhi amanani empahla emigwaqweni emikhulu efana ne-Asia-Pacific eya eYurophu nase-United States aqhubeka nokukhuphuka.
February:Ngemuva koNyaka Omusha WaseShayina, izimpahla ezisalela emuva zangaphambilini zathunyelwa, isidingo sehla, futhi umthamo wezimpahla ezinkundleni zokuxhumana ze-e-commerce ungase ulungiswe ngemva kweholide, futhi isilinganiso somhlaba wonke somthwalo wempahla singase sehle uma siqhathaniswa noJanuwari.
Mashi:Ukukhanya okungemuva kokujaha kwangaphambili kwentela kukota yokuqala kusekhona, futhi ezinye izimpahla zisathuthwa. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, ukusimama kancane kancane kokukhiqizwa kokukhiqiza kungase kuqhube inani elithile lesidingo sempahla, futhi amanani wempahla angase akhuphuke kancane ngesisekelo sikaFebruwari.
Ngo-Ephreli kuya kuJuni:Uma singekho isimo esiphuthumayo esikhulu, umthamo kanye nesidingo sizinzile, futhi isilinganiso somhlaba wonke somthwalo wezimpahla zomoya kulindeleke ukuthi siguquguquke cishe ku-±5%.
NgoJulayi kuya ku-Agasti:Isizini yezivakashi zasehlobo, ingxenye yomthamo we-belly cargo wezindiza zabagibeli igcwele imithwalo yabagibeli, njll., futhi umthamo wezimpahla ucinene. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, amapulatifomu e-e-commerce alungiselela imisebenzi yokuphromotha engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka, futhi amanani okuthutha emoyeni angase akhuphuke ngo-10% -15%.
Septhemba kuya ku-Okthoba:Isizini yendabuko yokwenyuka kwempahla iyeza, ehambisana nemisebenzi yokuphromotha ye-e-commerce "Golden September kanye neSilver October", isidingo sokuthuthwa kwempahla sinamandla, futhi amanani wempahla angase aqhubeke ekhuphuka ngo-10% -15%.
Novemba kuya kuZibandlela:Amafestivali okuthenga afana ne-"Black Friday" kanye "noKhisimusi" aholele ekukhuleni okukhulu kwezimpahla ze-e-commerce, futhi isidingo sifinyelele esicongweni sonyaka. Isilinganiso somhlaba jikelele somthwalo singase sikhuphuke ngo-15% -20% uma kuqhathaniswa noSepthemba. Kodwa-ke, ekupheleni konyaka, njengoba inzondo yefestivali yezitolo iyancipha futhi kufika isikhathi sokuphumula, amanani angase ehle.
(Lokhu okungenhla kungokwereferensi kuphela, sicela ubheke ikhotheshini yangempela.)
Ngakho-ke, ukunqunywa kwezindleko zezimpahla zokuthutha emoyeni akuyona into eyodwa elula, kodwa umphumela womphumela ohlangene wezinto eziningi. Lapho ukhetha izinsiza zokuthutha impahla emoyeni, abanikazi bempahla sicela bacabangele ngokugcwele izidingo zakho, ibhajethi kanye nezici zezimpahla, futhi uxhumane ngokugcwele futhi uxoxisane nezinkampani ezithumela impahla ukuze bathole isisombululo esingcono kakhulu sempahla kanye nezilinganiso zezindleko ezifanele.
Ungayithola kanjani iquote yezimpahla zomoya esheshayo nenembile?
1. Uyini umkhiqizo wakho?
2. Isisindo sezimpahla kanye nomthamo? Noma usithumelele uhlu lokupakisha oluvela kumnikezeli wakho?
3. Ikuphi indawo yomphakeli wakho? Siyidinga ukuze siqinisekise isikhumulo sezindiza esiseduze e-China.
4. Ikheli lakho lomnyango wokudiliva elinekhodi yeposi. (Umaendlini ngendluisevisi iyadingeka.)
5. Uma unedethi efanele yokulungiswa kwempahla evela kumphakeli wakho, kuzoba ngcono?
6. Isaziso esikhethekile: noma ngabe sikhuluphele noma sikhuluphele; kungakhathaliseki ukuthi yizimpahla ezibucayi njengoketshezi, amabhethri, njll.; noma ngabe zikhona yini izidingo zokulawula izinga lokushisa.
I-Senghor Logistics izohlinzeka ngekhotheshini yakamuva yezimpahla zomoya ngokuya ngolwazi lwakho lwempahla kanye nezidingo. Singama-ejenti aqalayo ezinkampani zezindiza futhi singanikeza isevisi yokulethwa kwendlu ngendlu, engenakukhathazeka futhi esindisa abasebenzi.
Sicela ugcwalise ifomu lombuzo ukuze nibonisane.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Jun-25-2024
