Mitengo 10 yapamwamba yonyamula katundu pamlengalenga imayambitsa zinthu komanso kusanthula mtengo wa 2025
M'mabizinesi apadziko lonse lapansi,katundu wa ndegekutumiza kwakhala njira yofunikira yonyamula katundu kumakampani ambiri komanso anthu pawokha chifukwa chakuchita bwino komanso kuthamanga kwake. Komabe, kapangidwe ka ndalama zonyamula katundu pa ndege ndizovuta kwambiri ndipo zimakhudzidwa ndi zinthu zambiri.
Mtengo wotumiza katundu wandege umakhudza zinthu
Choyamba, ndikulemeraza katundu ndi chimodzi mwa zinthu zofunika kwambiri kudziwa mtengo wonyamulira ndege. Nthawi zambiri, makampani onyamula katundu m'ndege amawerengera ndalama zonyamula katundu potengera mtengo wagawo pa kilogalamu. Katunduyo akachuluka, mtengo wake umakwera.
Mitengo yamitengo nthawi zambiri imakhala 45 kg, 100 kg, 300 kg, 500 kg, 1000 kg ndi kupitilira apo (onani zambiri mumankhwala). Komabe, tisaiwale kuti katundu wolemera voliyumu ndi wopepuka wopepuka, ndege akhoza kulipira malinga ndi kulemera kwa voliyumu.
ThemtundaKutumiza ndi chinthu chofunikira chomwe chikukhudza mtengo wamayendedwe onyamula katundu wa ndege. Nthawi zambiri, mtunda wautali wa mayendedwe, umakhala wokwera mtengo. Mwachitsanzo, mtengo wa katundu wonyamula mpweya kuchokera ku China kupitaEuropeidzakhala yokwera kwambiri kuposa ya katundu wonyamula ndege kuchokera ku China kupitaSoutheast Asia. Komanso, osiyanama eyapoti onyamuka ndi ma eyapoti omwe akupitazidzakhudzanso mtengo.
Themtundu wa katunduzidzakhudzanso ndalama zonyamulira ndege. Katundu wapadera, monga katundu wowopsa, zakudya zatsopano, zamtengo wapatali, ndi katundu wofunikira kutentha, nthawi zambiri amakhala ndi mtengo wokwera wazinthu zogulira kuposa katundu wamba chifukwa zimafunikira njira zapadera zodzitetezera.
(Mwachitsanzo: katundu wolamulidwa ndi kutentha, unyolo wozizira wamankhwala umafunikira zida zapadera, ndipo mtengo ukhoza kuwonjezeka ndi 30% -50%.)
Komanso, azofunikira pa nthawi yakeza kutumiza zidzawonetsedwanso pamtengo wake. Ngati mukufunikira kufulumizitsa mayendedwe ndikupereka katundu kumalo komwe mukupita munthawi yochepa kwambiri, mtengo waulendo wolunjika udzakhala wapamwamba kuposa mtengo wotumizira; ndege idzapereka chithandizo choyambirira komanso kutumiza mwachangu kwa izi, koma mtengowo udzakwera molingana.
Ndege zosiyanasiyanaalinso ndi milingo yolipirira yosiyana. Ndege zina zazikulu zapadziko lonse lapansi zitha kukhala ndi maubwino pamayendedwe amtundu wautumiki ndi njira yofikira, koma ndalama zawo zitha kukhala zokwera; pamene ndege zina zazing'ono kapena zachigawo zingapereke mitengo yopikisana.
Kuwonjezera pamwamba mwachindunji mtengo zinthu, enandalama zosalunjikaziyenera kuganiziridwa. Mwachitsanzo, mtengo wonyamula katundu. Pofuna kuonetsetsa chitetezo cha katundu panthawi yonyamula katundu, zipangizo zolimba zonyamula katundu zomwe zimakwaniritsa miyezo ya kayendedwe ka ndege ziyenera kugwiritsidwa ntchito, zomwe zidzawononge ndalama zina. Kuphatikiza apo, mtengo wamafuta, ndalama zololeza mayendedwe, ndalama za inshuwaransi, ndi zina zambiri ndizinthu zamitengo yoyendetsera ndege.
Zina:
Kugula ndi kufunikira kwa msika
Zosintha zomwe zimafunidwa: Pazikondwerero zogula ma e-commerce komanso nyengo zopanga kwambiri, kufunikira kwa kutumiza katundu kumawonjezeka kwambiri. Ngati kuperekedwa kwa mphamvu zotumizira sikungafanane ndi nthawi, mitengo yonyamula ndege idzakwera. Mwachitsanzo, pa zikondwerero zogula zinthu monga "Khrisimasi" ndi "Black Friday", kuchuluka kwa katundu wamalonda pa intaneti kwaphulika, ndipo kufunikira kwa katundu wonyamula ndege kumakhala kolimba, zomwe zimakweza mitengo ya katundu.
(Mlandu wanthawi zonse wa kusalinganika kwa kaphatikizidwe ndi kufunikira kwake ndivuto la Nyanja Yofiira mu 2024: zombo zonyamula katundu zodutsa ku Cape of Good Hope zakulitsa kayendetsedwe kake, ndipo katundu wina wasanduka mayendedwe apandege, kukweza kuchuluka kwa katundu wa Asia-Europe ndi 30%.)
Kusintha kwa mphamvu: Mimba ya ndege zonyamula anthu ndi gwero lofunikira lotha kunyamula katundu wandege, ndipo kukwera kapena kuchepa kwa maulendo apaulendo kumakhudza mwachindunji kuchuluka kwa katundu wamimba. Kufuna kwa okwera kukachepa, kuchuluka kwa m'mimba kwa ndege zonyamula anthu kumachepa, ndipo kufunikira kwa katundu kumakhalabe kosasintha kapena kukwera, mitengo yonyamula katundu imatha kukwera. Kuonjezera apo, chiwerengero cha ndege zonyamula katundu zomwe zimayikidwa ndi kuchotsedwa kwa ndege zakale zonyamula katundu zidzakhudzanso mphamvu zoyendetsa ndege, motero zimakhudza mitengo.
Ndalama zotumizira
Mitengo yamafuta: Mafuta oyendetsa ndege ndi imodzi mwamitengo yayikulu yogwiritsira ntchito ndege, ndipo kusinthasintha kwamitengo yamafuta kumakhudza mwachindunji mtengo wonyamula katundu wandege. Mitengo yamafuta ikakwera, ndege zimakweza mitengo yonyamulira ndege kuti isamutse chiwongola dzanja.
Malipiro apabwalo la ndege: Miyezo yolipirira ma eyapoti osiyanasiyana imasiyanasiyana, kuphatikiza ndalama zokwerera ndi zonyamuka, zolipirira kuyimitsa magalimoto, zolipirira pansi, ndi zina zambiri.
Zinthu zanjira
Kutanganidwa kwamayendedwe: Njira zodziwika bwino monga Asia Pacific kupita ku Europe ndi America, Europe ndi America kupita ku Middle East, ndi zina zotero, chifukwa cha malonda pafupipafupi komanso kufunikira kwa katundu wambiri, ndege zakhala zikuchita zambiri panjirazi, koma mpikisano ulinso wowopsa. Mitengo idzakhudzidwa ndi kupezeka ndi kufunikira komanso kuchuluka kwa mpikisano. Mitengo idzakwera mu nyengo yapamwamba, ndipo ikhoza kugwa mu nyengo yopuma chifukwa cha mpikisano.
Geopolitical Policy: tariffs, zoletsa njira ndi mikangano yamalonda
Kuopsa kwa Geopolitical kumakhudza mwachindunji mitengo yonyamula katundu:
Ndondomeko ya Tariff: United States isanakhazikitse msonkho ku China, makampani adathamangira kutumiza katundu, zomwe zinachititsa kuti mitengo ya katundu panjira ya China-US ikwere ndi 18% mu sabata imodzi;
Zoletsa za Airspace: Pambuyo pa mkangano wa Russia-Ukraine, ndege za ku Ulaya zinawuluka mozungulira ndege ya ku Russia, ndipo nthawi yothawa pa njira ya Asia-Europe inakula ndi maola 2-3, ndipo mtengo wamafuta unakula ndi 8% -12%.
Mwachitsanzo
Kuti timvetsetse mtengo wotumizira ndege momveka bwino, tidzagwiritsa ntchito nkhani inayake kuti tifotokozere. Tiyerekeze kuti kampani ikufuna kutumiza mtanda wa 500 kg wa zinthu zamagetsi kuchokera ku Shenzhen, China kupitaLos Angeles, USA, ndikusankha ndege yodziwika bwino yapadziko lonse lapansi yokhala ndi mtengo wagawo wa US$6.3 pa kilogalamu. Popeza kuti zinthu zamagetsi sizinthu zapadera, palibe ndalama zowonjezera zothandizira zomwe zimafunika. Nthawi yomweyo, kampaniyo imasankha nthawi yabwino yotumizira. Pamenepa, mtengo wapaulendo wa katunduyu ndi pafupifupi US$3,150. Koma ngati kampaniyo ikufunika kubweretsa katunduyo mkati mwa maola 24 ndikusankha ntchito yofulumira, mtengo wake ukhoza kuwonjezeka ndi 50% kapena kupitilira apo.
Kuwunika kwamitengo yonyamula ndege mu 2025
Mu 2025, mitengo yonse yonyamula katundu padziko lonse lapansi imatha kusinthasintha ndikukwera, koma magwiridwe antchito amasiyana nthawi ndi njira.
Januwale:Chifukwa cha kufunikira kosungira Chaka Chatsopano cha China chisanafike komanso kukhazikitsidwa kwa malamulo atsopano a msonkho ndi United States, makampani adatumiza katundu pasadakhale, zofuna zinawonjezeka kwambiri, ndipo mitengo ya katundu panjira zazikulu monga Asia-Pacific kupita ku Ulaya ndi United States inapitiriza kukwera.
February:Pambuyo pa Chaka Chatsopano cha China, katundu wobwerera m'mbuyo adatumizidwa, kufunikira kunatsika, ndipo kuchuluka kwa katundu pamapulatifomu a e-commerce kungasinthidwe pambuyo pa tchuthi, ndipo chiwongola dzanja chapadziko lonse lapansi chikhoza kutsika poyerekeza ndi Januwale.
Marichi:Kuwala kwamitengo isanakwane m'gawo loyamba kukadalipo, ndipo katundu wina akadali paulendo. Nthawi yomweyo, kuyambiranso kwapang'onopang'ono kwa kupanga zinthu kumatha kuyambitsa kuchuluka kwa katundu, ndipo mitengo ya katundu imatha kukwera pang'ono pamaziko a February.
April mpaka June:Ngati palibe ngozi yaikulu, mphamvu ndi zofuna zimakhala zokhazikika, ndipo chiwerengero cha ndege padziko lonse lapansi chikuyembekezeka kusinthasintha pafupifupi ± 5%.
July mpaka August:Nyengo yachilimwe ya alendo, gawo la ndege zonyamula katundu zonyamula anthu zimakhala ndi katundu wonyamula anthu, ndi zina zambiri, ndipo katundu wonyamula katundu ndi wothina. Nthawi yomweyo, nsanja za e-commerce zikukonzekera ntchito zotsatsira theka lachiwiri la chaka, ndipo mitengo yonyamula katundu pamlengalenga imatha kukwera ndi 10% -15%.
September mpaka October:Nyengo yanthawi yayitali yonyamula katundu ikubwera, kuphatikiza ndi zotsatsa za e-commerce "Golden September ndi Silver October", kufunikira kwa mayendedwe onyamula katundu ndikwamphamvu, ndipo mitengo yonyamula katundu ipitilira kukwera ndi 10% -15%.
November mpaka December:Zikondwerero zogula monga "Black Friday" ndi "Khrisimasi" zapangitsa kuti katundu wa e-commerce achuluke kwambiri, ndipo kufunikira kwafika pachimake pachaka. Mtengo wapadziko lonse wonyamula katundu ukhoza kukwera ndi 15% -20% poyerekeza ndi Seputembala. Komabe, pofika kumapeto kwa chaka, pamene chikondwerero chogula zinthu chikuchepa ndipo nyengo yopuma ikafika, mitengo ikhoza kutsika.
(Zomwe zili pamwambazi ndi zongonena zokhazokha, chonde onani mawu enieniwo.)
Chifukwa chake, kutsimikiza kwamitengo yonyamula katundu wa ndege si chinthu chimodzi chokha, koma zotsatira za kuphatikizika kwazinthu zingapo. Posankha ntchito zonyamula katundu m'ndege, eni katundu chonde ganizirani mozama za zosowa zanu, bajeti ndi mawonekedwe a katunduyo, ndipo lankhulani mokwanira ndikukambirana ndi makampani otumizira katundu kuti mupeze njira yonyamulira yonyamula katunduyo komanso mitengo yotsika mtengo.
Kodi mungapeze bwanji mtengo wachangu komanso wolondola wonyamula katundu?
1. Kodi mankhwala anu ndi otani?
2. Kulemera kwa katundu ndi kuchuluka kwake? Kapena titumizireni mndandanda wazolongedza kuchokera kwa ogulitsa anu?
3. Kodi malo ogulitsa anu ali kuti? Tikufuna kutsimikizira eyapoti yapafupi ku China.
4. Adilesi yanu yotumizira pakhomo ndi positi. (Ngatikhomo ndi khomoservice ikufunika.)
5. Ngati muli ndi tsiku lolondola la katundu kuchokera kwa omwe akukugulirani, zikhala bwino?
6. Chidziwitso chapadera: kaya chikhale chotalika kapena cholemera kwambiri; kaya ndi katundu tcheru monga zamadzimadzi, mabatire, etc.; ngati pali zofunikira zilizonse zowongolera kutentha.
Senghor Logistics ipereka ndalama zaposachedwa kwambiri zonyamula katundu kutengera zomwe mwanyamula komanso zosowa zanu. Ndife oyambira oyendetsa ndege ndipo titha kupereka ntchito yobweretsera khomo ndi khomo, yopanda nkhawa komanso yopulumutsa ntchito.
Chonde lembani fomu yofunsira mafunso.
Nthawi yotumiza: Jun-25-2024
